core CPI

Federal Reser

2026-09-11 16:25:00

Bitcoin Holds Up as Hotter Core CPI Strengthens Fed Rate Hike Expectations

U.S. core CPI for August rose 0.3% month over month, above the 0.2% consensus, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise rates next week, according to a CoinDesk report cited by PANews. Analysts said markets have likely had enough time to price in another hike, which could limit the immediate reaction if the Fed delivers what investors already expect. In that setup, a surprise decision to leave rates unchanged could produce a larger rally in risk assets. Matt Mena, senior crypto research strategist at 21Shares, said historical data shows Bitcoin has posted an average gain of 2.13% over the 30 days following upside core CPI surprises. After the latest inflation print, Bitcoin was trading at about $78,600, up 1.5% over the past 24 hours. Mark Connors, chief investment officer at Risk Dimensions, said the broad rise in Treasury yields together with strength in both Bitcoin and gold suggests investors are focused not only on the Fed’s rate path, but also on inflation, government debt, and the credibility of monetary policy.

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US CPI

2026-09-11 13:29:28

US August core CPI rises 0.3% month over month as September rate-hike odds climb to about 90%

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released August consumer price index data on Sept. 11, showing headline CPI rose 0.4% from a month earlier and 3.4% from a year earlier, both in line with the Dow Jones consensus. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.3% on the month, 0.1 percentage point above expectations, while the annual core reading came in at 2.4%, matching forecasts. The report was the last major inflation release before the Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting. After the data, traders increased bets that the Federal Open Market Committee will raise rates by 25 basis points on Sept. 16. According to CNBC, CME Group’s FedWatch tool showed the implied probability climbing to about 90%, up from nearly 70% before the release. Energy was the main driver of headline inflation, with gasoline up 3.9% in August and accounting for more than one-third of the overall increase. Shelter, transportation services, airline fares and lodging away from home also moved higher. In crypto markets, Bitcoin traded around $77,700 after the release, up about 1.1% over 24 hours, while Ether changed hands near $2,500, up about 3.6%.

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U.S. CPI

2026-09-11 13:01:47

ZeroHedge says U.S. core CPI ran hot, with supercore inflation even stronger

ChainCatcher reported that financial blog ZeroHedge said the latest U.S. CPI report showed core CPI coming in hot, while so-called supercore inflation was even hotter. According to ZeroHedge, the move was driven mainly by historic increases in education and communication services prices. Within that category, mobile phone communication services posted a record surge. The brief note did not provide additional figures, nor did it cite any other components of the CPI report. The claim was attributed specifically to ZeroHedge in ChainCatcher’s market analysis newsflash.

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core CPI

2026-09-11 12:33:20

August core CPI rises 0.3%, adding to expectations for a Fed rate hike

August core CPI rose 0.3%, a faster-than-expected increase that added to expectations the Federal Reserve may raise rates. According to CoinDesk, the inflation report had already taken on unusual importance after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said two weeks earlier that the central bank might have to act if inflation did not slow soon. With that backdrop, the latest CPI reading strengthened the case for possible policy tightening. The report centers on inflation data and rate expectations, with no additional market figures or policy details disclosed in the source material.

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US economy

2026-09-11 12:31:53

U.S. August core CPI rose 0.3% month over month, above expectations

U.S. inflation data released on Sept. 11 showed that August core CPI came in firmer on a monthly basis while continuing to cool on an annual basis. According to BlockBeats, seasonally adjusted core CPI rose 0.3% in August from the previous month, topping the market expectation of 0.2% and the prior reading of 0.2%. The figure marked the highest monthly increase since May this year. At the same time, unadjusted core CPI rose 2.4% from a year earlier, in line with market expectations and down from the previous 2.5% reading. The annual measure has now declined for three straight months and hit its lowest level since April 2021. The latest release pointed to a split picture in the underlying inflation trend, with month-over-month core inflation accelerating even as the year-over-year rate continued to ease.

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US August CPI

2026-09-11 05:58:13

U.S. August CPI due tonight as traders put September Fed hike odds near 70%

The U.S. Labor Department is set to release August CPI data at 20:30 Beijing time on Sept. 11, a report markets see as a key input for the Federal Reserve’s policy decision next week. Consensus expectations cited in the source put headline CPI at 0.4% month over month and 3.4% year over year, while core CPI is seen rising 0.2% on the month and 2.4% on the year. The data arrives as investors debate whether the Fed will deliver its first rate increase in more than three years. The report comes after U.S. August PPI rose 5.4% year over year, above July’s 4.8%. The source also said oil prices in the U.S. climbed above $100 a barrel as the Iran war pushed up energy costs, adding to transportation, supply-chain and tariff-related expenses. According to the report, the Fed will be watching whether higher energy prices pass through into core goods and services. Market attention is centered on the monthly core CPI reading: 0.2% could leave room for rates to stay unchanged, while 0.4% could push policy toward another hike. CME FedWatch data currently shows about a 70% chance of a 25-basis-point increase in September, though Bank of America and Nomura offered different views on the likely outcome.

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Bitcoin

2026-09-10 07:53:25

Coin Metrics says Bitcoin reacts more sharply to payrolls than Fed decisions, while core CPI leaves a longer mark

A new Coin Metrics study argues that traders may be watching the wrong macro event if they want to understand Bitcoin’s fastest price swings. Looking at the first 30 minutes after major US releases between January 2025 and September 2026, the firm found that nonfarm payrolls produced the biggest median move in BTC, roughly 2x a normal non-event window. Core CPI ranked next at about 1.8x, while Federal Open Market Committee rate decisions stayed near baseline levels across the observed windows. The report draws a distinction between shock and persistence. Payrolls tend to trigger the sharpest immediate repricing because they can quickly shift views on whether the economy is overheating and whether the Federal Reserve still has room to raise rates. Core CPI, by contrast, has a more durable effect because it feeds directly into real-rate expectations and the policy path over the following weeks. Coin Metrics also points to a broader regime shift. Bitcoin’s 90-day return correlation with gold has risen to +0.56, the highest since 2020, while its correlation with the Nasdaq 100 and the US dollar has fallen close to zero. That does not prove BTC has permanently become digital gold, the firm said, but it suggests Bitcoin is currently trading in a macro setup that looks more like gold than a tech stock proxy.

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US economy

2026-08-12 12:32:41

US July core CPI rises 0.2% month over month, in line with expectations

ChainCatcher reported that the United States posted a 0.2% month-over-month increase in seasonally adjusted core CPI for July. The reading was higher than the previous month and matched market expectations. The source item was brief and did not provide additional breakdowns, year-over-year figures, or details on specific inflation components. The update focuses solely on the July seasonally adjusted core CPI monthly rate and its relation to the prior month and consensus expectations. No further market reaction or policy implications were included in the original report.

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